Also to clarify, TurboTax says that I do not owe AMT for 2018. I do not have any AMT tax preference items such as stock options - the only item that would get added back for AMT income is the single standard deduction. My current AMT Income is below the single AMT exemption amount of $70K, so it’s clear that I do not owe AMT for 2018. My (UK) income may go up in a few years beyond the exemption amount.
Perhaps what’s going on is that TurboTax, in order to figure out whether or not I owed AMT, had to pick either the normal or simplified method to complete the AMT calculation, and hence I was asked the question.
I find this situation with TT most curious. As you have surmised, perhaps the new standard deductions give a difference, and subsequent division, between line 17 and line 18 of 1116AMT results in a less than favourable outcome for the normally computed limitation. Still, it's most curious the question is asked unless that less favourable situation arose, which in your case, it appears it would not.
And upon further reflection, it appears that since I don’t have to file a 6251 with my 2018 tax return, there is no need for me to make an official choice with the IRS on Simplified limitation election or not (even if one had to be assumed for AMT calculation purposes)........ If so, it means that I can kick this particular can down the road until I actually have to file a 6251. And would I be correct in assuming that the first year to make the election on whether to take the simplified method or not is the first year I’d have to FILE a 6251, even if there was no AMT payment due?
I would see no reason to make a choice regarding 'Simplified' prior to a situation where a 6251 was required. On a personal basis, unless for some reason I needed the net foreign source taxable income to align, or for some other reason (see post above), between 1040 1116 and 1116AMT, I would never select the 'Simplified' election. Perhaps the professionals would know. For someone with long term foreign source income, the carryover/carry back facility is far too valuable (more on this later).
There is an older thread on the Bogleheads forum that makes a similar point, in the post by grabiner (you have to cut and paste the link): https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?p=2417916#p2417916 Do you agree with this line of thinking?
I've looked at the comment from grabiner and generally agree, but beware: Bogleheads are most concerned with US based mutual funds (Vanguard) and for many, the foreign investments that are taxed abroad within the Vanguard wrapper. US expats with no prior Vanguard account before residing abroad, no US bank account, and no US address will not have mutual funds (PFICs), so are coming from a different circumstance; mainly, a return composed of predominantly foreign sourced income.
At that point, if there is an AMT due, I can certainly check whether the normal or simplified method would yield a lower AMT. But it’s more likely that I’d have to file a 6251 with no AMT actually due (at least assuming the current TCJA provisions for AMT continue). In that case, I see a benefit of not doing the simplified election, due to the possibility of FTC carryovers. But I do not see any clear countervailing benefit to the simplified method. Am I missing anything here?
Are we both missing something here? I have no knowledge of any reason to elect the 'Simplified' method for the average punter. As I said above, perhaps the professionals do know why.
Finally, I noticed that you file 1116AMT even though you are not subject to AMT. Why is that, and would I need to do the same if I elect the non-simplified method after I first file a 6251?
I'm a survivor of the 2003 (or was it 2004?) AMT witch hunt. Obscure AMT regulations that had been disregarded for years were suddenly enforced. One was the situation where an US expat with income above the AMT threshold, and who used the passive basket for FTC, automatically owed AMT tax. There was a provision in the 1116AMT passive form that only allowed 90% of the computed credit. Thus everyone in that situation that year owed additional tax on the disallowed 10%. Everyone. American Citizens Abroad campaigned against the regulation, and as a result, it was dropped the following year.
Fast forward to TCJA and the repatriation tax.
After a long time abroad, one learns Congress can drop a tax bomb on US expats at any time. Therefore, as a CYA exercise, one takes a proactive defensive position wherever possible. Hence, why I continue to file 6251 and 1116AMT if my income is above the AMT threshold.