I don't understand why it's considered a good thing to buy a house as an investment. Shouldn't it just be a place to live? Maybe we need to completely rethink our attitude to home owership. Shelter is a basic human need, there's really no excuse for a developed country that prices basic needs out of the average person's budget.
Personally this is also my opinion......
But I think it is an important point that today's housing situation is not only morally questionable (just an opinion/belief) but pragmatically unsound. We have come to expect housing values to rise because basically they have for 40 years. Governments have written blank checks to the industry in terms of tax breaks, lax financial over-sight and the artificial constraint of interest rates to keep the wheels greased. It has been a tremendous run for a great many people. And one could make a good point that perhaps it could have continued indefinitely had financial institutions not gone crazy with risk, and governments not failed to use the brakes. The US Fed could have bumped up rates ten years ago and slowed it all down, but that is a very tough call - given a democratic system it is almost impossible to be the guy who says, "Oh growth needs to be curbed". You would not be reelected.
In the free market, housing is a commodity like any other, like oil or tin or wheat; the laws of supply and demand in most times will set the value - and the system works fine. But as we have seen time and again, in reality we are not always rational. In reality value is set by perception. If we think demand will rise we invest. If we fear danger ahead we hoard.
Perhaps though - and this veers off into total opinion - the most important driving condition today is that everyone knows things have turned sour. We all know it. We are in a protracted slump at best.
I will agree totally with Denis in that what we are really seeing is a reshuffling of where the West stands in today's world economy. Britain has been dealing with this since WWII, the US faces it now. We talk all the time about China's rise but we do it in a way that makes it seem as if it won't affect us. The oil situation has caused a tremendous outflow of money to the Mideast.
I personally think that this will cause great stresses on our way of life because just as with house hold budgets, stepping down the ladder can be excruciating. Making do, austerity, these things are fine in speeches, they speak to our ingrained ideals of hard work and perseverance - Pa Engels and wartime London; but on the ground it is ugly and mean.
But it doesn't have to be all despair. It is an opportunity really to redefine what matters. Quality health care is important. Shelter is a requirement. We must eat safe nutritious foods and drink clean water. Everyone must. We have to feel safe. Humans function better if we are rested and allowed the opportunity to express ourselves and to cultivate our talents. Under those conditions we see success.