(3) a copy of the account holder’s Certificate of Loss of Nationality of the United States or a reasonable explanation of:
(a) the reason the account holder does not have such a certificate despite renouncing U.S. citizenship; or
(b) the reason the account holder did not obtain U.S. citizenship at birth.
Ultimately, it will be the FFI's decision as to whether the account is a US reportable account, or not. It's always been the downside of FATCA and the IGA's that the FFI's are the arbiter of US Personhood for financial reporting. They have nothing to lose by making an account reportable, but they also have a conundrum.
"[A]........the IRS, in its Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs), recently added Question 10 to the section dealing with General Compliance. The question posed is whether, if a Reporting Model 1 FFI or a Reporting Model 2 FFI, in applying the due diligence procedures in Section III(B) of Annex 1 of the IGA, cannot obtain the self-certification upon the opening of new individual accounts, can the financial institution, nevertheless, open the account and treat it as a U.S. reportable account? The IRS responds "no," stating that, pursuant to Section III(B) of Annex 1 of the IGA, the financial institution must obtain the self-certification at account opening, failing which the financial institution cannot open the account". (bold mine)
http://www.bna.com/fatca-versus-igas-n17179934450/There's also the question of an old law, the Expatriation Act of 1868, which is (as I understand) still in force today:
“Whereas the right of expatriation is a natural and inherent right of all people, indispensable to the enjoyment of the rights of life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness … Therefore any declaration, instruction, opinion, order, or decision of any officer of the United States which denies, restricts, impairs, or questions the right of expatriation, is declared inconsistent with the fundamental principles of the Republic.” 15 Stat. 223; R.S. § 1999; 8 U.S.C.A. 1481….” (bold mine)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expatriation_Act_of_1868A lawsuit in Canada pending a judicial decision, a lawsuit in the US (Federal Court in Ohio) pending a judicial decision, and an ongoing appeal to the UN Human Rights Commission: the "slick, slight of hand" of the US Department of the Treasury in
inventing the IGA's (there was nothing in the legislation about IGA's) may have been a brilliant tactic, but it may also have been a step too far.
Regardless, it appears anyone who may have US citizenship (knowingly, or unknowingly) is being directed towards paying $2,350. Relinquishments are subject to the approval of the DoS. What happens to the $2,350 if the DoS decides to deny the relinquishment? Is the $2,350 refunded, or put towards renunciation, or lost with an additional $2,350 due with an application for renunciation?
IMHO, the new charge may drive even more individuals to hide at all costs.