Author Topic: Aurora possible this weekend (Read 947 times)

« **on:** March 22, 2019, 03:16:47 PM »

Scotland, in the unlikely event of it not being cloudy, or there being a break in the clouds this weekend on the 23rd:

GEOMAGNETIC STORM WARNING: NOAA forecasters say there is a 75% chance of geomagnetic storms on March 23rd when a coronal mass ejection (CME) is expected to sideswipe Earth's magnetic field. Storm levels could reach category G2, which is moderately strong. During G2-class storms, auroras may be seen in northern-tier US states as far south as New York and Idaho.

Geomagnetic Storms: Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe stormUpdated at: 2019 Mar 21 2200 UTC

Mid-latitudes

0-24 hr 24-48 hr
ACTIVE 10 % 30 %
MINOR 01 % 40 %
SEVERE 01 % 20 %

High latitudes

0-24 hr 24-48 hr
ACTIVE 15 % 05 %
MINOR 20 % 20 %
SEVERE 15 % 75 %


per http://spaceweather.com/

« **Reply #1 on:** March 22, 2019, 03:25:38 PM »

I look at this one from time to time.

http://www.aurora-service.eu/aurora-forecast/

« **Reply #2 on:** March 22, 2019, 04:03:19 PM »

Hoping to see some here!

« **Reply #3 on:** March 22, 2019, 04:44:47 PM »

Wow that's so cool! I doubt I'll see anything way down here though. If you see the aurora, take pics and share

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« **Reply #4 on:** March 22, 2019, 04:46:47 PM »

Oooh maybe! I have an app on my iPad that monitors Aurora activity, very handy!

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« **Reply #5 on:** March 22, 2019, 06:55:12 PM »

I belong to a Scotland Aurora research Facebook group. There are always amazing views here. Last month, auroras very visible throughout most of Scotland, in record numbers. I had to work early that week so didn't get out to Loch Lomond.

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« **Reply #6 on:** March 22, 2019, 07:42:12 PM »

For those of us less northerly folk, be aware that when there is extreme activity, and it's described as potentially visisble "as far south as Idaho or New York", Idaho's northern border with Canada is the 49th parallel. The whole of Great Britain is north of the 49th parallel. If Idaho could view it, we could view it (if our part of the earth is pointed away from the sun and weather conditions are clear enough, that is!).

« **Reply #7 on:** March 22, 2019, 10:47:42 PM »

Just booked a room for tomorrow night in Loch Lomond. Hoping for the best views possible!

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« **Reply #8 on:** March 24, 2019, 07:55:45 AM »

Well, the aurora was a no show but had a brilliant day anyway.

Hiked on The West Highland Way. Me in my hiking boots, parka, gloves and my walking pole... my Scottish numpty in his shorts and crocs.